Tag Archives: Parliament

30 minutes with John Bercow

John Bercow is possibly the most famous Speaker of the House of Commons in modern  history, and he’s not even half way through his self imposed nine year term. His shifting political positions, high profile confrontations, outspoken wife, short stature, verbose oratory, all make John Bercow a recognisable and easily caricatured figure. I am currently […]

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Learn about Whips now… in 60 seconds

As we explained in a post last week, over the coming weeks and months we are going to be digging through the NottsPolitics vault and publishing short ’60 second guides’ to key concepts, approaches and thinkers in the study of politics. Here, Professor Philip Cowley takes up the 60 second challenge and chooses as his subject […]

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Polling Observatory #11: When is a tie not a tie?

This is the eleventh of a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most of the short term advances and setbacks in party polling fortunes […]

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Gay Marriage, Conservative Divorce?

‘Prediction is very difficult’, said Niels Bohr, ‘especially if it’s about the future’ – and it’s always potentially embarrassing when you revisit things you wrote and in which you had confidently predicted what was to come. Take, for example, this 2009 article, looking at the likely state of the Conservative Parliamentary Party after the election. It […]

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Parliamentary nerds! Here be more facts for you!

Last night saw 81 Conservative MPs rebel against the Government, making it not only the largest ever Tory rebellion on Europe in Government, but very nearly twice as large as the previous biggest Tory rebellion suffered by David Cameron in Government. The 81 Conservatives were joined in the aye lobby by 19 Labour rebels, eight […]

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How to measure today’s rebellion

The first benchmark for today’s vote is 41 Conservative MPs.  That is (as we have explained before) both the largest Conservative rebellion by government MPs against Europe ever AND the largest Conservative rebellion so far during this Parliament.  Should at least 42 Conservative MPs rebel, then this will be the largest Conservative euro revolt ever.  […]

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The European magic number: 41

As the size of Monday’s Conservative rebellion over a referendum on EU membership appears to grow – Newsnight on Friday were talking about 100 Conservative MPs defying the whip – David Cameron might well be wishing that he had led the Conservative Party in the 1950s. There were two sessions during that decade in which not a […]

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What do you think the Government’s Commons majority is?

On paper, it’s 76.  Those with some knowledge of way Westminster works in practice will have remembered to add in the five non-sitting Sinn Fein MPs, plus the Speaker and his Deputies, which takes it past 80.  The really sharp amongst you might mention that the eight DUP MPs usually (though not always) vote with […]

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New MPs kick off

One of the most striking features about the House of Commons after the 2010 election was the number of newly-elected MPs.  A full 36% of the House was newly-elected, including 48% of Conservative MPs.  In the past, newly elected MPs have tended to be relatively acquiescent – at least to begin with – but one […]

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In the rebellion game, everyone’s a winner

Conservative MPs are the most rebellious in the House of Commons, as the right kicks against Cameron’s leadership.  Actually, that’s not true.  Liberal Democrats MPs are in fact the most rebellious, with widespread rebellions against the policies of the coalition.  Actually, that’s not true either.  The party which has been the most rebellious since 2010 […]

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